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Methodology

Ken Massey's College Football Ranking Comparisons:  Lots of other ranking to see here!

 

 

CURRENT RETRODICTION RATINGS  (Thru Games of: 12/2/2017)

Using these ratings, the lower rated team has beaten a higher rated team
in only 66 out of 735 FBS games (8.98%).
See games below.

Ranking Team W-L* Best
Possible
Worst
Possible
1 Clemson 12-1 1 1
2 Miami FL 10-2 2 9
3 Washington 10-2 3 5
4 UCF 12-0 1 4
5 Memphis 10-2 5 21
6 Washington St 9-3 6 13
7 Auburn 10-3 7 7
8 Alabama 11-1 8 11
9 Georgia 12-1 9 9
10 Notre Dame 9-3 10 18
11 Oklahoma 12-1 11 14
12 Fresno St 9-4 12 13
13 Georgia Tech 5-6 13 25
14 Boise St 10-3 14 14
15 TCU 10-3 15 15
16 Oklahoma St 9-3 16 34
17 San Diego St 10-2 15 20
18 Ohio St 11-2 18 19
19 USC 11-2 11 20
20 Wisconsin 12-1 19 28
21 Stanford 9-4 21 21
22 UCLA 6-6 22 26
23 Troy 10-2 23 24
24 Mississippi St 8-4 24 24
25 LSU 9-3 25 25
26 Virginia Tech 9-3 14 36
27 Arizona St 7-5 27 27
28 Michigan St 9-3 28 29
29 Northwestern 9-3 29 29
30 Penn St 10-2 30 30
31 Wake Forest 7-5 31 32
32 Michigan 8-4 31 33
33 NC State 8-4 33 39
34 Maryland 4-8 34 34
35 Texas 6-6 35 36
36 Toledo 11-2 36 58
37 West Virginia 7-5 36 64
38 Oregon 7-5 28 41
39 Houston 7-4 39 42
40 Boston College 7-5 34 40
41 Louisville 8-4 41 44
42 Utah 6-6 42 42
43 Navy 6-5 43 48
44 South Florida 9-2 40 62
45 Florida St 6-6 45 45
46 Purdue 6-6 46 47
47 Kentucky 7-5 47 51
48 Indiana 5-7 47 81
49 FL Atlantic 10-3 49 60
50 Iowa 7-5 50 50
51 Texas A&M 7-5 26 51
52 South Carolina 8-4 52 52
53 Missouri 7-5 53 53
54 Florida 4-7 54 54
55 Vanderbilt 5-7 55 64
56 Arkansas 4-8 54 104
57 Syracuse 4-8 57 57
58 Arizona 7-5 58 58
59 C Michigan 8-4 59 73
60 Colorado 5-7 59 68
61 Florida Intl 8-4 61 62
62 SMU 7-5 44 62
63 Tulane 5-7 63 63
64 North Texas 9-4 63 66
65 Kansas St 7-5 65 65
66 Iowa St 7-5 66 66
67 UAB 8-4 67 70
68 Texas Tech 6-6 68 68
69 California 5-7 69 69
70 Tennessee 4-8 70 70
71 Southern Miss 8-4 71 71
72 Louisiana Tech 6-6 72 72
73 UT San Antonio 6-5 73 75
74 N Illinois 8-4 60 76
75 Minnesota 5-7 51 76
76 Marshall 7-5 74 85
77 Nebraska 4-8 77 77
78 Wyoming 7-5 78 100
79 Akron 7-6 79 79
80 W Michigan 6-6 80 86
81 Pittsburgh 5-7 81 81
82 Virginia 6-6 82 82
83 Army 8-3 65 83
84 Temple 6-6 84 84
85 East Carolina 3-9 85 85
86 Cincinnati 4-8 86 86
87 Buffalo 6-6 87 87
88 Ohio 8-4 88 88
89 E Michigan 5-7 89 89
90 Rutgers 4-8 90 90
91 Arkansas St 7-4 91 103
92 Illinois 2-10 91 92
93 WKU 6-6 93 95
94 Duke 6-6 94 94
95 North Carolina 3-9 95 95
96 MTSU 6-6 96 96
97 Old Dominion 5-7 97 97
98 Connecticut 3-9 98 98
99 Massachusetts 4-8 99 99
100 Appalachian St 8-4 105 112
101 Air Force 5-7 101 105
102 Tulsa 2-10 102 102
103 Bowling Green 2-10 97 106
104 ULM 4-8 104 104
105 Mississippi 6-6 105 105
106 Colorado St 7-5 102 107
107 Kent 2-10 104 115
108 Utah St 6-6 107 110
109 Nevada 3-9 107 113
110 Rice 1-11 98 124
111 BYU 4-9 109 113
112 Oregon St 1-11 107 125
113 Georgia St 6-5 113 113
114 UNLV 5-7 114 114
115 ULL 5-7 115 116
116 Miami OH 5-7 116 116
117 New Mexico St 6-6 116 117
118 Texas St 2-10 118 121
119 Ball St 2-10 119 119
120 New Mexico 3-9 120 120
121 Hawaii 3-9 121 121
122 Coastal Car 3-9 122 122
123 Baylor 1-11 95 123
124 Kansas 1-11 124 125
125 UTEP 0-12 118 125
126 Ga Southern 2-10 126 126
127 Charlotte 1-11 127 127
128 Idaho 4-8 128 128
129 South Alabama 4-8 129 129
130 San Jose St 2-11 130 130
* W/L record can contain games versus non-FBS opponents
Games where lower rated team was victorious
Date Score
8/26/2017 Hawaii 38 : Massachusetts 35
9/2/2017 South Carolina 35 : NC State 28
9/2/2017 Coastal Car 38 : Massachusetts 28
9/4/2017 Tennessee 42 : Georgia Tech 41
9/9/2017 MTSU 30 : Syracuse 23
9/9/2017 Ball St 51 : UAB 31
9/9/2017 Duke 41 : Northwestern 17
9/16/2017 Texas Tech 52 : Arizona St 45
9/22/2017 Virginia 42 : Boise St 23
9/23/2017 New Mexico 16 : Tulsa 13
9/23/2017 Miami OH 31 : C Michigan 14
9/23/2017 Florida 28 : Kentucky 27
9/23/2017 Texas Tech 27 : Houston 24
9/23/2017 Buffalo 34 : FL Atlantic 31
9/30/2017 New Mexico 56 : Air Force 38
9/30/2017 Florida St 26 : Wake Forest 19
10/7/2017 Iowa St 38 : Oklahoma 31
10/7/2017 MTSU 37 : Florida Intl 17
10/7/2017 Penn St 31 : Northwestern 7
10/11/2017 South Alabama 19 : Troy 8
10/13/2017 California 37 : Washington St 3
10/13/2017 Syracuse 27 : Clemson 24
10/14/2017 Mississippi 57 : Vanderbilt 35
10/14/2017 Connecticut 28 : Temple 24
10/14/2017 Georgia St 47 : ULM 37
10/14/2017 Arizona St 13 : Washington 7
10/14/2017 Arizona 47 : UCLA 30
10/14/2017 LSU 27 : Auburn 23
10/14/2017 Tulsa 45 : Houston 17
10/21/2017 Miami OH 24 : Buffalo 14
10/21/2017 Charlotte 25 : UAB 24
10/21/2017 Rutgers 14 : Purdue 12
10/21/2017 South Alabama 33 : ULM 23
10/28/2017 Iowa St 14 : TCU 7
10/28/2017 Arizona 58 : Washington St 37
10/28/2017 Northwestern 39 : Michigan St 31
10/28/2017 Idaho 31 : ULM 23
10/28/2017 Nebraska 25 : Purdue 24
10/28/2017 UNLV 26 : Fresno St 16
11/2/2017 Temple 34 : Navy 26
11/3/2017 Utah 48 : UCLA 17
11/4/2017 Cincinnati 17 : Tulane 16
11/4/2017 ULM 52 : Appalachian St 45
11/4/2017 Virginia 40 : Georgia Tech 36
11/4/2017 Rutgers 31 : Maryland 24
11/4/2017 Mississippi 37 : Kentucky 34
11/4/2017 Iowa 55 : Ohio St 24
11/7/2017 Miami OH 24 : Akron 14
11/8/2017 Ohio 38 : Toledo 10
11/9/2017 North Carolina 34 : Pittsburgh 31
11/10/2017 Stanford 30 : Washington 22
11/11/2017 South Alabama 24 : Arkansas St 19
11/11/2017 Old Dominion 37 : Florida Intl 30
11/18/2017 Duke 43 : Georgia Tech 20
11/18/2017 Tulane 20 : Houston 17
11/18/2017 Kansas St 45 : Oklahoma St 40
11/23/2017 Mississippi 31 : Mississippi St 28
11/24/2017 Texas Tech 27 : Texas 23
11/24/2017 Pittsburgh 24 : Miami FL 14
11/25/2017 Stanford 38 : Notre Dame 20
11/25/2017 Duke 31 : Wake Forest 23
11/25/2017 Ga Southern 34 : ULL 24
11/25/2017 San Jose St 20 : Wyoming 17
12/2/2017 Idaho 24 : Georgia St 10
12/2/2017 Boise St 17 : Fresno St 14
12/2/2017 Georgia 28 : Auburn 7