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Methodology

Ken Massey's College Football Ranking Comparisons:  Lots of other ranking to see here!

 

 

CURRENT RETRODICTION RATINGS  (Thru Games of: 1/9/2017)

Using these ratings, the lower rated team has beaten a higher rated team
in only 82 out of 760 FBS games (10.79%).
See games below.

Ranking Team W-L* Best
Possible
Worst
Possible
1 Clemson 14-1 1 1
2 Alabama 14-1 2 5
3 Ohio St 11-2 3 7
4 San Diego St 11-3 4 4
5 Houston 9-4 5 7
6 Texas A&M 8-5 6 6
7 Tennessee 9-4 7 10
8 Oklahoma 11-2 6 15
9 Troy 10-3 9 50
10 USC 10-3 10 18
11 Virginia Tech 10-4 11 11
12 North Carolina 8-5 12 12
13 Florida St 10-3 13 13
14 Florida 9-4 14 24
15 Michigan 10-3 15 18
16 Oklahoma St 10-3 16 17
17 Miami FL 9-4 17 17
18 Pittsburgh 8-5 18 18
19 Penn St 11-3 19 19
20 Wisconsin 11-3 20 24
21 Georgia Tech 9-4 21 21
22 West Virginia 10-3 18 35
23 Boise St 10-3 23 32
24 Washington 12-2 11 29
25 Iowa 8-5 25 25
26 Nebraska 9-4 26 27
27 Georgia 8-5 27 27
28 Minnesota 9-4 27 32
29 Auburn 8-5 28 37
30 Colorado 10-4 25 32
31 Kentucky 7-6 31 38
32 W Michigan 13-1 21 40
33 Washington St 8-5 31 33
34 Stanford 10-3 34 34
35 California 5-7 35 42
36 Kansas St 9-4 36 36
37 New Mexico 9-4 37 59
38 LSU 8-4 38 38
39 Louisville 9-4 39 39
40 Boston College 7-6 40 41
41 Northwestern 7-6 41 41
42 NC State 7-6 42 42
43 Utah 9-4 43 43
44 UCLA 4-8 44 45
45 Wake Forest 7-6 45 51
46 Oregon St 4-8 46 46
47 BYU 9-4 45 47
48 Arizona 3-9 48 53
49 Arkansas 7-6 49 49
50 Oregon 4-8 50 50
51 Appalachian St 10-3 18 62
52 Temple 10-4 52 52
53 South Florida 11-2 53 57
54 Arizona St 5-7 54 54
55 TCU 6-7 60 63
56 Mississippi St 6-7 56 56
57 Indiana 6-7 46 61
58 South Carolina 6-7 58 58
59 Texas Tech 5-7 59 59
60 Hawaii 7-7 60 66
61 Missouri 4-8 61 61
62 Maryland 6-7 58 75
63 Idaho 9-4 52 68
64 Texas 5-7 64 64
65 Wyoming 8-6 65 65
66 Baylor 7-6 66 66
67 Air Force 10-3 67 67
68 Ohio 8-6 68 88
69 Colorado St 7-6 69 69
70 Vanderbilt 6-7 70 70
71 WKU 11-3 71 76
72 Iowa St 3-9 72 72
73 Mississippi 5-7 73 73
74 Navy 9-5 74 74
75 Tulsa 10-3 75 75
76 UCF 6-7 76 78
77 Memphis 8-5 77 77
78 SMU 5-7 78 78
79 Cincinnati 4-8 79 79
80 Purdue 3-9 80 80
81 Illinois 3-9 81 83
82 East Carolina 3-9 82 82
83 Louisiana Tech 9-5 83 83
84 Michigan St 3-9 82 90
85 Virginia 2-10 85 87
86 Tulane 4-8 79 93
87 UT San Antonio 6-7 87 96
88 Duke 4-8 88 88
89 Toledo 9-4 69 97
90 San Jose St 4-8 76 94
91 Notre Dame 4-8 91 91
92 Syracuse 4-8 92 92
93 Old Dominion 10-3 72 93
94 Connecticut 3-9 94 94
95 Nevada 5-7 92 107
96 Rutgers 2-10 96 96
97 MTSU 8-5 97 97
98 Akron 5-7 98 99
99 N Illinois 5-7 99 101
100 Miami OH 6-7 99 101
101 Massachusetts 2-10 94 103
102 E Michigan 7-6 102 102
103 Bowling Green 4-8 103 103
104 Florida Intl 4-8 102 111
105 Kent 3-9 104 105
106 C Michigan 6-7 106 106
107 Ball St 4-8 107 107
108 Buffalo 2-10 108 108
109 North Texas 5-8 109 109
110 Army 8-5 110 110
111 Kansas 2-10 111 111
112 Charlotte 4-8 112 113
113 Utah St 3-9 96 116
114 Southern Miss 7-6 114 114
115 Marshall 3-9 115 115
116 ULL 6-7 116 116
117 Arkansas St 8-5 117 117
118 FL Atlantic 3-9 116 120
119 Ga Southern 5-7 119 119
120 ULM 4-8 120 123
121 Rice 3-9 121 121
122 UTEP 4-8 122 122
123 UNLV 4-8 123 123
124 South Alabama 6-7 124 124
125 New Mexico St 3-9 125 125
126 Fresno St 1-11 124 126
127 Georgia St 3-9 127 127
128 Texas St 2-10 128 128
* W/L record can contain games versus non-FBS opponents
Games where lower rated team was victorious
Date Score
9/2/2016 Army 28 : Temple 13
9/3/2016 Georgia 33 : North Carolina 24
9/3/2016 Texas St 56 : Ohio 54
9/3/2016 Southern Miss 44 : Kentucky 35
9/3/2016 South Alabama 21 : Mississippi St 20
9/10/2016 East Carolina 33 : NC State 30
9/10/2016 New Mexico St 32 : New Mexico 31
9/10/2016 C Michigan 30 : Oklahoma St 27
9/17/2016 Rutgers 37 : New Mexico 28
9/17/2016 Louisville 63 : Florida St 20
9/17/2016 Stanford 27 : USC 10
9/17/2016 Connecticut 13 : Virginia 10
9/23/2016 Utah 31 : USC 27
9/23/2016 E Michigan 27 : Wyoming 24
9/24/2016 Old Dominion 33 : UT San Antonio 19
9/24/2016 Mississippi 45 : Georgia 14
9/24/2016 Arizona St 51 : California 41
9/24/2016 MTSU 38 : Louisiana Tech 34
9/24/2016 Baylor 35 : Oklahoma St 24
10/1/2016 South Alabama 42 : San Diego St 24
10/1/2016 New Mexico St 37 : ULL 31
10/1/2016 Northwestern 38 : Iowa 31
10/6/2016 Memphis 34 : Temple 27
10/6/2016 Louisiana Tech 55 : WKU 52
10/8/2016 Arizona St 23 : UCLA 20
10/8/2016 Navy 46 : Houston 40
10/8/2016 Oregon St 47 : California 44
10/8/2016 Connecticut 20 : Cincinnati 9
10/15/2016 Vanderbilt 17 : Georgia 16
10/15/2016 UNLV 41 : Hawaii 38
10/15/2016 C Michigan 34 : N Illinois 28
10/15/2016 E Michigan 27 : Ohio 20
10/15/2016 Syracuse 31 : Virginia Tech 17
10/22/2016 UTEP 52 : UT San Antonio 49
10/22/2016 Penn St 24 : Ohio St 21
10/22/2016 MTSU 51 : Missouri 45
10/22/2016 SMU 38 : Houston 16
10/22/2016 Syracuse 28 : Boston College 20
10/27/2016 Buffalo 41 : Akron 20
10/29/2016 Wyoming 30 : Boise St 28
10/29/2016 Notre Dame 30 : Miami FL 27
10/29/2016 Texas Tech 27 : TCU 24
10/29/2016 South Carolina 24 : Tennessee 21
10/29/2016 Army 21 : Wake Forest 13
11/5/2016 Mississippi St 35 : Texas A&M 28
11/5/2016 Texas 45 : Texas Tech 37
11/5/2016 Arkansas 31 : Florida 10
11/9/2016 Bowling Green 38 : Akron 28
11/10/2016 Duke 28 : North Carolina 27
11/12/2016 Mississippi 29 : Texas A&M 28
11/12/2016 Rice 22 : Charlotte 21
11/12/2016 Pittsburgh 43 : Clemson 42
11/12/2016 Iowa 14 : Michigan 13
11/12/2016 Marshall 42 : MTSU 17
11/12/2016 Georgia Tech 30 : Virginia Tech 20
11/12/2016 UNLV 69 : Wyoming 66
11/15/2016 C Michigan 27 : Ohio 20
11/17/2016 Arkansas St 35 : Troy 3
11/19/2016 Iowa St 66 : Texas Tech 10
11/19/2016 Kansas 24 : Texas 21
11/19/2016 Wyoming 34 : San Diego St 33
11/19/2016 Colorado St 49 : New Mexico 31
11/19/2016 Georgia St 30 : Ga Southern 24
11/19/2016 Oregon 30 : Utah 28
11/24/2016 LSU 54 : Texas A&M 39
11/25/2016 NC State 28 : North Carolina 21
11/25/2016 Memphis 48 : Houston 44
11/25/2016 Air Force 27 : Boise St 20
11/25/2016 Missouri 28 : Arkansas 24
11/25/2016 Southern Miss 39 : Louisiana Tech 24
11/26/2016 UTEP 52 : North Texas 24
11/26/2016 Colorado St 63 : San Diego St 31
11/26/2016 Vanderbilt 45 : Tennessee 34
12/3/2016 Ga Southern 28 : Troy 24
12/10/2016 Army 21 : Navy 17
12/17/2016 Arkansas St 31 : UCF 13
12/23/2016 Louisiana Tech 48 : Navy 45
12/27/2016 Baylor 31 : Boise St 12
12/27/2016 Army 38 : North Texas 31
12/28/2016 Northwestern 31 : Pittsburgh 24
12/28/2016 Kansas St 33 : Texas A&M 28
12/30/2016 Stanford 25 : North Carolina 23