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Methodology

Ken Massey's College Football Ranking Comparisons :  Lots of other ranking to see here!

 

 

CURRENT RETRODICTION RATINGS  (Thru Games of: 1/9/2023)

Using these ratings, the lower rated team has beaten a higher rated team
in only 121 out of 776 FBS games (15.59%).
See games below.

Ranking Team W-L* Best
Possible
Worst
Possible
1 Georgia 15-0 1 2
2 Michigan 13-1 2 2
3 Ohio St 11-2 3 3
4 Penn St 11-2 4 5
5 Tennessee 11-2 5 8
6 Utah 10-4 6 6
7 USC 11-3 7 7
8 Notre Dame 9-4 8 8
9 Clemson 11-3 9 9
10 Florida St 10-3 10 10
11 LSU 10-4 11 11
12 Alabama 11-2 12 16
13 Washington 11-2 13 13
14 Oregon St 10-3 14 14
15 Oregon 10-3 15 15
16 Kentucky 7-6 16 16
17 Mississippi St 9-4 17 17
18 Mississippi 8-5 18 18
19 Florida 6-7 19 19
20 Louisville 8-5 20 20
21 NC State 8-5 21 21
22 Washington St 7-6 22 28
23 Auburn 5-7 23 29
24 North Carolina 9-5 24 26
25 UCLA 9-4 25 25
26 Kansas St 10-4 26 27
27 Pittsburgh 9-4 27 27
28 TCU 13-2 28 28
29 California 4-8 29 30
30 Missouri 6-7 30 32
31 Arizona 5-7 31 31
32 Tulane 12-2 32 32
33 South Carolina 8-5 33 33
34 Wake Forest 8-5 34 34
35 Oklahoma St 7-6 35 37
36 Syracuse 7-6 36 36
37 Texas A&M 5-7 37 37
38 Texas Tech 8-5 38 38
39 Texas 8-5 39 39
40 West Virginia 5-7 40 40
41 Baylor 6-7 41 41
42 Oklahoma 6-7 42 42
43 Kansas 6-7 43 43
44 Duke 9-4 44 44
45 Iowa St 4-8 45 45
46 East Carolina 8-5 46 47
47 Liberty 8-5 47 48
48 UCF 9-5 48 48
49 Arkansas 7-6 49 49
50 Vanderbilt 5-7 50 50
51 Miami FL 5-7 51 64
52 Cincinnati 9-4 52 52
53 SMU 7-6 53 55
54 Iowa 8-5 54 54
55 Purdue 8-6 55 56
56 Houston 8-5 56 56
57 Illinois 8-5 57 57
58 Memphis 7-6 57 60
59 Minnesota 9-4 59 59
60 Wisconsin 7-6 60 60
61 Navy 4-8 61 61
62 Maryland 8-5 62 62
63 Michigan St 5-7 63 63
64 BYU 8-5 64 64
65 Virginia 3-7 58 65
66 Georgia Tech 5-7 66 66
67 Stanford 3-9 67 67
68 Nebraska 4-8 68 68
69 Rutgers 4-8 69 69
70 Indiana 4-8 70 70
71 UT San Antonio 11-3 82 83
72 James Madison 8-3 72 81
73 Fresno St 10-4 73 73
74 Boise St 10-4 74 74
75 Wyoming 7-6 75 75
76 Utah St 6-7 76 76
77 Air Force 10-3 77 77
78 San Diego St 7-6 78 78
79 San Jose St 7-5 79 79
80 Virginia Tech 3-8 80 80
81 Troy 12-2 81 81
82 Coastal Car 9-4 82 83
83 UNLV 5-7 83 83
84 Army 6-6 84 84
85 Connecticut 6-7 85 85
86 Arizona St 3-9 86 86
87 Tulsa 5-7 87 87
88 Colorado 1-11 88 88
89 South Alabama 10-3 96 107
90 Ohio 10-4 90 90
91 Buffalo 7-6 91 92
92 Boston College 3-9 92 92
93 E Michigan 9-4 93 93
94 North Texas 7-7 94 94
95 WKU 9-5 95 95
96 FL Atlantic 5-7 96 96
97 Florida Intl 4-8 97 98
98 UAB 7-6 98 98
99 New Mexico St 7-6 99 99
100 Bowling Green 6-7 100 105
101 MTSU 8-5 101 101
102 Colorado St 3-9 102 102
103 New Mexico 2-10 103 113
104 Charlotte 3-9 104 104
105 Rice 5-8 105 105
106 W Michigan 5-7 106 106
107 Toledo 9-5 107 107
108 Southern Miss 7-6 108 108
109 ULM 4-8 109 112
110 Hawaii 3-10 110 110
111 Louisiana Tech 3-9 111 111
112 Nevada 2-10 112 112
113 Louisiana 6-7 113 113
114 UTEP 5-7 114 114
115 Marshall 9-4 115 115
116 Texas St 4-8 116 116
117 Ga Southern 6-7 117 117
118 Appalachian St 6-6 118 118
119 Georgia St 4-8 119 119
120 Miami OH 6-7 107 120
121 Ball St 5-7 121 121
122 C Michigan 4-8 122 122
123 Old Dominion 3-9 123 123
124 Kent 5-7 124 124
125 Akron 2-10 125 126
126 Arkansas St 3-9 126 126
127 N Illinois 3-9 127 127
128 Northwestern 1-11 128 128
129 Temple 3-9 88 129
130 South Florida 1-11 130 130
131 Massachusetts 1-11 131 131
* W/L record can contain games versus non-FBS opponents
Games where lower rated team was victorious
Date Score
8/27/2022 Northwestern 31 : Nebraska 28
8/27/2022 Nevada 23 : New Mexico St 12
9/2/2022 Indiana 23 : Illinois 20
9/2/2022 Old Dominion 20 : Virginia Tech 17
9/3/2022 Syracuse 31 : Louisville 7
9/3/2022 Florida 29 : Utah 26
9/10/2022 Texas St 41 : Florida Intl 12
9/10/2022 Marshall 26 : Notre Dame 21
9/10/2022 Louisiana 49 : E Michigan 21
9/10/2022 Kansas 55 : West Virginia 42
9/10/2022 UTEP 20 : New Mexico St 13
9/10/2022 BYU 26 : Baylor 20
9/10/2022 Ga Southern 45 : Nebraska 42
9/10/2022 Appalachian St 17 : Texas A&M 14
9/10/2022 Arkansas 44 : South Carolina 30
9/17/2022 Appalachian St 32 : Troy 28
9/17/2022 Maryland 34 : SMU 27
9/17/2022 Tulane 17 : Kansas St 10
9/17/2022 E Michigan 30 : Arizona St 21
9/23/2022 UTEP 27 : Boise St 10
9/24/2022 Navy 23 : East Carolina 20
9/24/2022 MTSU 45 : Miami FL 31
9/24/2022 UNLV 34 : Utah St 24
9/24/2022 Southern Miss 27 : Tulane 24
9/30/2022 UCLA 40 : Washington 32
10/1/2022 San Jose St 33 : Wyoming 16
10/1/2022 Rice 28 : UAB 24
10/1/2022 Arkansas St 45 : ULM 28
10/1/2022 Air Force 13 : Navy 10
10/1/2022 Mississippi 22 : Kentucky 19
10/1/2022 Georgia Tech 26 : Pittsburgh 21
10/1/2022 Georgia St 31 : Army 14
10/1/2022 Connecticut 19 : Fresno St 14
10/1/2022 Kent 31 : Ohio 24
10/1/2022 Boston College 34 : Louisville 33
10/1/2022 UTEP 41 : Charlotte 35
10/1/2022 Wake Forest 31 : Florida St 21
10/8/2022 Illinois 9 : Iowa 6
10/8/2022 UCLA 42 : Utah 32
10/8/2022 South Carolina 24 : Kentucky 14
10/8/2022 Georgia Tech 23 : Duke 20
10/8/2022 Georgia St 41 : Ga Southern 33
10/8/2022 Arizona St 45 : Washington 38
10/8/2022 NC State 19 : Florida St 17
10/8/2022 Boise St 40 : Fresno St 20
10/15/2022 Colorado 20 : California 13
10/15/2022 Michigan St 34 : Wisconsin 28
10/15/2022 Ga Southern 45 : James Madison 38
10/15/2022 N Illinois 39 : E Michigan 10
10/15/2022 Stanford 16 : Notre Dame 14
10/15/2022 Syracuse 24 : NC State 9
10/15/2022 Ball St 25 : Connecticut 21
10/15/2022 Old Dominion 49 : Coastal Car 21
10/22/2022 TCU 38 : Kansas St 28
10/22/2022 Marshall 26 : James Madison 12
10/22/2022 Wisconsin 35 : Purdue 24
10/22/2022 UTEP 24 : FL Atlantic 21
10/29/2022 Toledo 27 : E Michigan 24
10/29/2022 Baylor 45 : Texas Tech 17
10/29/2022 Arkansas 41 : Auburn 27
11/5/2022 Louisiana Tech 40 : MTSU 24
11/5/2022 Michigan St 23 : Illinois 15
11/5/2022 Georgia St 42 : Southern Miss 14
11/5/2022 Iowa St 31 : West Virginia 14
11/5/2022 Texas 34 : Kansas St 27
11/5/2022 Kansas 37 : Oklahoma St 16
11/9/2022 N Illinois 24 : W Michigan 21
11/9/2022 C Michigan 31 : Buffalo 27
11/9/2022 Kent 40 : Bowling Green 6
11/11/2022 Cincinnati 27 : East Carolina 25
11/12/2022 Connecticut 36 : Liberty 33
11/12/2022 Vanderbilt 24 : Kentucky 21
11/12/2022 Boston College 21 : NC State 20
11/12/2022 UCF 38 : Tulane 31
11/12/2022 UAB 41 : North Texas 21
11/12/2022 Arizona 34 : UCLA 28
11/19/2022 Oregon 20 : Utah 17
11/19/2022 Virginia Tech 23 : Liberty 22
11/19/2022 Navy 17 : UCF 14
11/19/2022 Arkansas 42 : Mississippi 27
11/19/2022 MTSU 49 : FL Atlantic 21
11/19/2022 Vanderbilt 31 : Florida 24
11/19/2022 UTEP 40 : Florida Intl 6
11/19/2022 South Carolina 63 : Tennessee 38
11/19/2022 Indiana 39 : Michigan St 31
11/19/2022 Hawaii 31 : UNLV 25
11/19/2022 Houston 42 : East Carolina 3
11/19/2022 Oklahoma 28 : Oklahoma St 13
11/19/2022 Georgia Tech 21 : North Carolina 17
11/25/2022 Nebraska 24 : Iowa 17
11/26/2022 Tulsa 37 : Houston 30
11/26/2022 MTSU 33 : Florida Intl 28
11/26/2022 West Virginia 24 : Oklahoma St 19
11/26/2022 Kent 30 : Buffalo 27
11/26/2022 Duke 34 : Wake Forest 31
11/26/2022 New Mexico St 49 : Liberty 14
11/26/2022 Texas A&M 38 : LSU 23
11/26/2022 South Carolina 31 : Clemson 30
12/3/2022 Toledo 17 : Ohio 7
12/10/2022 Army 20 : Navy 17
12/16/2022 Troy 18 : UT San Antonio 12
12/17/2022 Fresno St 29 : Washington St 6
12/17/2022 Southern Miss 38 : Rice 24
12/17/2022 BYU 24 : SMU 23
12/19/2022 Marshall 28 : Connecticut 14
12/20/2022 E Michigan 41 : San Jose St 27
12/20/2022 Toledo 21 : Liberty 19
12/21/2022 WKU 44 : South Alabama 23
12/22/2022 Air Force 30 : Baylor 15
12/23/2022 Wake Forest 27 : Missouri 17
12/24/2022 MTSU 25 : San Diego St 23
12/27/2022 Wisconsin 24 : Oklahoma St 17
12/28/2022 Arkansas 55 : Kansas 53
12/28/2022 Texas Tech 42 : Mississippi 25
12/29/2022 Minnesota 28 : Syracuse 20
12/30/2022 Ohio 30 : Wyoming 27
12/30/2022 Pittsburgh 37 : UCLA 35
12/30/2022 Maryland 16 : NC State 12
12/31/2022 TCU 51 : Michigan 45
12/31/2022 Iowa 21 : Kentucky 0
1/2/2023 Tulane 46 : USC 45